Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019417 0.020818 0.022273 0.023899 0.025667 0.027534 0.029656
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016937 0.018943 0.021133 0.023710 0.026666 0.029961 0.033928
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015163 0.017496 0.020140 0.023373 0.027237 0.031731 0.037389
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014036 0.016611 0.019619 0.023414 0.028109 0.033768 0.041171
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012968 0.015672 0.018911 0.023107 0.028450 0.035091 0.044071
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012011 0.014780 0.018166 0.022658 0.028523 0.036012 0.046444
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011298 0.014130 0.017664 0.022451 0.028849 0.037226 0.049224
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010668 0.013541 0.017189 0.022228 0.029109 0.038329 0.051880
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010011 0.012873 0.016566 0.021755 0.028979 0.038863 0.053735
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009679 0.012613 0.016459 0.021961 0.029773 0.040698 0.057547
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009293 0.012256 0.016198 0.021928 0.030214 0.042036 0.060691
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009032 0.012054 0.016132 0.022156 0.031028 0.043943 0.064800
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008620 0.011626 0.015736 0.021896 0.031117 0.044790 0.067344
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008290 0.011298 0.015465 0.021799 0.031438 0.045996 0.070532
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007926 0.010905 0.015079 0.021509 0.031444 0.046704 0.072941
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007686 0.010678 0.014923 0.021550 0.031952 0.048217 0.076775
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007371 0.010330 0.014571 0.021272 0.031939 0.048885 0.079204
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007041 0.009945 0.014149 0.020865 0.031694 0.049152 0.080939
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006791 0.009669 0.013877 0.020677 0.031787 0.049974 0.083699
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006552 0.009401 0.013606 0.020475 0.031842 0.050726 0.086373
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006270 0.009057 0.013205 0.020046 0.031496 0.050767 0.087726
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006155 0.008964 0.013186 0.020233 0.032190 0.052642 0.092641
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005994 0.008793 0.013040 0.020203 0.032510 0.053869 0.096396